<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=4 width=432 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>St Louis –6 MIAMI 37
0-1-0/0-1-0 0-14
Well, we’ll try it again by going against an overrated Rams team and on a good enough Miami team when getting points. I have gone against Miami twice this year and won both times and played on Miami three times this year and am 1-2. I covered with Miami against Cincinnati earlier this year and lost against the Jets, in a game they deserved to cover. Last week, if not for an interception returned for a touchdown, they probably would have covered again, although I can’t say they deserved to cover that game because they were badly out played from the line of scrimmage. As for St. Louis, this is just an average team and they definitely didn’t deserve to cover last week and probably didn’t even deserve to win the game. The Rams offense is very good this year, averaging 4.5ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.0yps against 6.3yps and 6.0yppl against 5.3yppl. But they are going to face a very tough Miami defense, which is allowing just 4.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 4.7yps against 6.0yps and 4.3yppl against 5.1yppl. Those numbers suggest the Rams will probably only average around 5.2yppl, which is –0.1yppl below an average NFL team. For Miami, their offense has been terrible, but they did rush for 111 yards last week at 4.4ypr and did rush for 97 yards at 4.6ypr against a similar poor Jets defense three weeks ago. They are currently averaging just 3.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 4.5yps against 6.3yps and 3.9yppl against 5.4yppl. Miami qualifies in a number of terrific situations this week. Miami remains winless, but that isn’t such a bad omen when trying to pick spread winners. Winless teams as underdogs are pretty good bets and Miami qualifies in a situation based on that premise, which is 59-22-4. Poor teams at home getting a substantial amount of points, when facing good teams, is also very profitable and Miami qualifies in a situation based on that premise, which is 58-23-2. Miami is also a turnover table play this week, which is 1286-1068-65, including subsets, which are 797-618-36 and 67-28-2. With their win last week, the Rams are now one game over .500 but that actually sets them up in a letdown situation, which is 54-27-1 and plays against the Rams here.. These teams generally let down after finally getting above .500 and playing poor teams. Before accounting for the situations, my final numbers predict Miami by nine points and four points. Final total is predicted to be around 33 points. I have no problem taking a Miami team who hasn’t lost any game by more than 10 points this year (with the exception of the NE game, where they out averaged NE 4.1yppl to 3.5yppl) against a Rams team who hasn’t defeated any team by more than 10 points this year. I realize the line is six points and not ten points but the point is both teams are playing close games and this one figures to be just that as well. MIAMI 17 ST LOUIS 16
OAKLAND –3 New Orleans 44.5
2-0-0/1-1-0 16-17
The second to the last game with conflicting situations this week. NO offense is average at 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl and they’ll face an Oakland defense, which is a mirror image of NO, allowing 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl. For Oakland on offense, they are averaging 5.2yppl against 5.1yppl but they’ll face a terrible NO defense, which is allowing 4.9ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.6yps against 6.5yps and 6.3yppl against 5.6yppl. Both teams qualify in strong situations this week. Oakland qualifies in a negative situation based on their poor defensive performance last week and that situation is a 177-108-11 play against them. NO is coming off of two home games and they qualify in a contrary situation, which plays on poor teams in this situation, which is 114-62-5. NO also allowed the Vikings to rush for 6.7ypr last game and they qualify in a bounce back defensive performance situation, which is 165-98-9. But Oakland qualifies in my turnover table system, which is 1286-1068-65, including a subsets, which are 797-618-36, 125-75-4 and 129-70-3. The turnover table system is too strong to go against, so I will only lean with NO but they are close to being a best bet here. Final numbers project Oakland by four points and NO by two points. This game would also logically fit the bill for an over, but I have strong systems, which are 52-22-5 and 231-131-8 that play to the under. Final total suggests about 47 points but the situations pointing towards the under prevail in this situation. Just a lean to the dog and the under for me here. NEW ORLEANS 23 OAKLAND 20
Denver –6 CINCINNATI 43.5
2-2-0/2-2-0 24.5-19.3
Cincinnati qualifies in a couple of situations this week, which are 58-23-2 and 63-33-2 but those situations aren’t enough to get me on them. The Bengals offense has been terrible this year, averaging just 4.0ypr against 3.8ypr, 4.6yps against 5.7yps (pretty hard to play catch up when you can’t throw the ball) and 4.3yppl against 4.8yppl. They’ll face a very good Denver defense, which is allowing just 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.0yps against 6.0yps and 4.3yppl against 5.2yppl. Going the other way, Denver’s offense hasn’t been great but it’s certainly good enough and they are starting to rush the ball better with Droughns. Denver is now averaging 4.3ypr against 4.0ypr, 6.9yps against 6.5yps and 5.5yppl against 5.3yppl. They’ll have no trouble moving the ball against a terrible Cincinnati defense, which is allowing 4.6ypr against 4.0ypr, 7.4yps against 5.8yps and 5.8yppl against 4.9yppl. Denver qualifies in a turnover table situation, which is 33-14-0 and a fundamental rushing situation, which is 539-415-33, including subsets, which are 437-310-24, 330-225-17 and 246-144-13. Final numbers favor Denver by 10 and 9.5 points. Denver just way too good for Cincinnati in this game. DENVER 27 CINCINNATI 14
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0-1-0/0-1-0 0-14
Well, we’ll try it again by going against an overrated Rams team and on a good enough Miami team when getting points. I have gone against Miami twice this year and won both times and played on Miami three times this year and am 1-2. I covered with Miami against Cincinnati earlier this year and lost against the Jets, in a game they deserved to cover. Last week, if not for an interception returned for a touchdown, they probably would have covered again, although I can’t say they deserved to cover that game because they were badly out played from the line of scrimmage. As for St. Louis, this is just an average team and they definitely didn’t deserve to cover last week and probably didn’t even deserve to win the game. The Rams offense is very good this year, averaging 4.5ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.0yps against 6.3yps and 6.0yppl against 5.3yppl. But they are going to face a very tough Miami defense, which is allowing just 4.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 4.7yps against 6.0yps and 4.3yppl against 5.1yppl. Those numbers suggest the Rams will probably only average around 5.2yppl, which is –0.1yppl below an average NFL team. For Miami, their offense has been terrible, but they did rush for 111 yards last week at 4.4ypr and did rush for 97 yards at 4.6ypr against a similar poor Jets defense three weeks ago. They are currently averaging just 3.0ypr against 4.2ypr, 4.5yps against 6.3yps and 3.9yppl against 5.4yppl. Miami qualifies in a number of terrific situations this week. Miami remains winless, but that isn’t such a bad omen when trying to pick spread winners. Winless teams as underdogs are pretty good bets and Miami qualifies in a situation based on that premise, which is 59-22-4. Poor teams at home getting a substantial amount of points, when facing good teams, is also very profitable and Miami qualifies in a situation based on that premise, which is 58-23-2. Miami is also a turnover table play this week, which is 1286-1068-65, including subsets, which are 797-618-36 and 67-28-2. With their win last week, the Rams are now one game over .500 but that actually sets them up in a letdown situation, which is 54-27-1 and plays against the Rams here.. These teams generally let down after finally getting above .500 and playing poor teams. Before accounting for the situations, my final numbers predict Miami by nine points and four points. Final total is predicted to be around 33 points. I have no problem taking a Miami team who hasn’t lost any game by more than 10 points this year (with the exception of the NE game, where they out averaged NE 4.1yppl to 3.5yppl) against a Rams team who hasn’t defeated any team by more than 10 points this year. I realize the line is six points and not ten points but the point is both teams are playing close games and this one figures to be just that as well. MIAMI 17 ST LOUIS 16
OAKLAND –3 New Orleans 44.5
2-0-0/1-1-0 16-17
The second to the last game with conflicting situations this week. NO offense is average at 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl and they’ll face an Oakland defense, which is a mirror image of NO, allowing 5.4yppl against 5.4yppl. For Oakland on offense, they are averaging 5.2yppl against 5.1yppl but they’ll face a terrible NO defense, which is allowing 4.9ypr against 4.1ypr, 7.6yps against 6.5yps and 6.3yppl against 5.6yppl. Both teams qualify in strong situations this week. Oakland qualifies in a negative situation based on their poor defensive performance last week and that situation is a 177-108-11 play against them. NO is coming off of two home games and they qualify in a contrary situation, which plays on poor teams in this situation, which is 114-62-5. NO also allowed the Vikings to rush for 6.7ypr last game and they qualify in a bounce back defensive performance situation, which is 165-98-9. But Oakland qualifies in my turnover table system, which is 1286-1068-65, including a subsets, which are 797-618-36, 125-75-4 and 129-70-3. The turnover table system is too strong to go against, so I will only lean with NO but they are close to being a best bet here. Final numbers project Oakland by four points and NO by two points. This game would also logically fit the bill for an over, but I have strong systems, which are 52-22-5 and 231-131-8 that play to the under. Final total suggests about 47 points but the situations pointing towards the under prevail in this situation. Just a lean to the dog and the under for me here. NEW ORLEANS 23 OAKLAND 20
Denver –6 CINCINNATI 43.5
2-2-0/2-2-0 24.5-19.3
Cincinnati qualifies in a couple of situations this week, which are 58-23-2 and 63-33-2 but those situations aren’t enough to get me on them. The Bengals offense has been terrible this year, averaging just 4.0ypr against 3.8ypr, 4.6yps against 5.7yps (pretty hard to play catch up when you can’t throw the ball) and 4.3yppl against 4.8yppl. They’ll face a very good Denver defense, which is allowing just 3.6ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.0yps against 6.0yps and 4.3yppl against 5.2yppl. Going the other way, Denver’s offense hasn’t been great but it’s certainly good enough and they are starting to rush the ball better with Droughns. Denver is now averaging 4.3ypr against 4.0ypr, 6.9yps against 6.5yps and 5.5yppl against 5.3yppl. They’ll have no trouble moving the ball against a terrible Cincinnati defense, which is allowing 4.6ypr against 4.0ypr, 7.4yps against 5.8yps and 5.8yppl against 4.9yppl. Denver qualifies in a turnover table situation, which is 33-14-0 and a fundamental rushing situation, which is 539-415-33, including subsets, which are 437-310-24, 330-225-17 and 246-144-13. Final numbers favor Denver by 10 and 9.5 points. Denver just way too good for Cincinnati in this game. DENVER 27 CINCINNATI 14
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